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Tag Archive 'Political Risk'

The Egyptian Stock Exchange remains closed to this date despite increased domestic stability. This is disconcerting given the external interest shown in a resurgent and democratic Egypt. Markets should be open and able to price both downside risks and upside potential.

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Events in the Middle East are proving exciting to both political and market watchers globally. The rise of democracy is both a fruitful base for economic development but also, potentially, a new a source of uncertainty that must be priced-in accordingly. However, Egypt’s relatively peaceful political transition may just prove to be the right base to build upon, both economically and politically, for the coming century.

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The VIX has given us one of its characteristic break-outs last Friday. It will be interesting to see how volatility therefore gets priced back to the underlying S&P500 benchmark over the next few days.

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